本周天津镀锌方管市场价格继续攀高，整体成交量有所转弱。周内，成本方管市场价格持续拉涨，加之京津冀区域限产、关停利好消息的刺激，对天津镀锌方管价格的支撑作用有所增强，本地镀锌方管价格随之频繁上调。从市场了解到，随着周内价格的持续上涨，高价资源出货情况开始回落，成交逐渐趋于收紧。另据悉,由于方管市场散户价格不断上探，管厂采购较为谨慎，除了协议量以外，锁价提货很少，致使厂内原料以及成品库存普遍偏低，对于镀锌方管出厂价格的坚挺较为有利。此外，进入12月份，随着冬季之前建筑工程收尾以及水暖工程修复等，方管刚性需求尚存。后期看来，随着成本端的逐渐趋稳，镀锌方管市场的涨势或将止步，因此预计天津镀锌方管价格或将进入窄幅盘整阶段。
This week, Tianjin galvanized square tube market prices continue to rise, the overall turnover has weakened. During the week, the market price of cost square tube continued to rise, and stimulated by the good news of production restriction and shutdown in Beijing Tianjin Hebei region, the supporting role of Tianjin galvanized square tube price was strengthened, and the local galvanized square tube price was increased frequently. We learned from the market that, with the continuous rise in the price of the week, the situation of high price resource shipment began to fall, and the transaction gradually tended to tighten. It is also reported that due to the continuous increase of retail prices in the square tube market, the pipe manufacturers are more cautious in purchasing. In addition to the agreed volume, the price lock delivery is very few, resulting in the low inventory of raw materials and finished products in the factory, which is more favorable for the firm ex factory price of galvanized square tubes. In addition, in December, with the completion of construction projects before winter and the repair of water heating projects, the rigid demand of square pipes still exists. In the later stage, with the gradual stabilization of the cost side, the growth trend of the galvanized square pipe market may stop. Therefore, it is expected that the price of galvanized square pipe in Tianjin will enter into a narrow consolidation stage.
宏观方面，据财新传媒和Markit联合公布的数据显示，2020年11月份，财新中国通用服务业经营活动指数为57.8%，环比上升1.0个百分点，为2010年5月以来次高值，仅次于2020年6月。此前公布的11月财新中国制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）录得54.9，高于10月1.3个百分点，创十年来新高。在此拉动下，11月财新中国综合PMI提升1.8个百分点至57.5，创下2010年3月后最强劲增速。11月制造业和服务业总体复苏节奏继续加快，供给、需求两端同步向好，海外需求持续保持扩张态势，就业改善十分明显。市场需求旺盛，制造业开始主动补库存，成本和收费两端价格指数悉数上涨，企业家信心指数持续维持高位。预计后疫情时代经济的恢复还将持续数月。与此同时，内外部环境诸多不确定因素仍然存在，疫情期间推出的相关宽松政策的逐步退出还需更加稳妥的设计。
On the macro level, according to the data jointly released by Caixin media and Markit, in November 2020, Caixin's China general service industry business activity index was 57.8%, with a month on month increase of 1.0 percentage points, which was the second highest value since May 2010, second only to June 2020. Previously released, Caixin's purchasing managers' index (PMI) of China's manufacturing industry recorded 54.9 in November, 1.3 percentage points higher than that in October, reaching a 10-year high. Driven by this, the comprehensive PMI of Caixin China increased by 1.8 percentage points to 57.5 in November, the strongest growth rate since March 2010. In November, the overall recovery pace of manufacturing and service industries continued to accelerate, supply and demand both sides improved simultaneously, overseas demand continued to expand, and employment improved significantly. With strong market demand, the manufacturing industry began to take the initiative to replenish inventory. The price indexes at both ends of costs and charges rose, and the entrepreneur confidence index remained high. Economic recovery in the post epidemic era is expected to continue for several months. At the same time, many uncertain factors still exist in the internal and external environment, and the gradual withdrawal of the relevant loose policies during the epidemic period needs more stable design.
原料方面，唐山方坯、方管走势不一。唐山市场普碳150×150钢坯现金含税出厂主流报价为3580元，比上周同期下跌40元；唐山方管355mm系列主流报价为4110元，比上周同期上涨80元。成本支撑力度强劲，后期天津镀锌方管价格仍有一定的成本支撑。
Raw materials, Tangshan billet, square tube trend is different. In Tangshan market, the mainstream price of 150 × 150 billet including tax in cash was 3580 yuan, 40 yuan lower than the same period last week; the mainstream quotation of 355mm series of Tangshan square tube was 4110 yuan, 80 yuan higher than the same period last week. The cost support is strong, and the later Tianjin galvanized square tube price still has a certain cost support.
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